Geopolitics · Single market
Maduro US sentence length?
Outcome
No prison time
Acquittal, deal with no jail, deportation, or dismissal
Based on final US sentence
Outcome
20–40 years
Effective term across all counts
Based on final US sentence
Outcome
40–60 years
Effective term across all counts
Based on final US sentence
Outcome
60+ years (including life)
Includes life sentence scenarios
Based on final US sentence
Market context
Prediction market on the length of the final US court sentence for Nicolás Maduro. Resolution follows the final sentence after appeals expire. Effective term accounts for concurrent sentences and parole eligibility. “No prison time” covers acquittal, plea with no incarceration, deportation, dismissal, or other non-custodial outcomes.
Rules
- Outcome is set by the final US court sentence (after appeals or expiration of appeal window).
- Effective term counts total prison time across counts, considering concurrent sentences and parole eligibility.
- “No prison time” if acquittal, plea with no incarceration, deportation, dismissal, or any resolution without a custodial sentence.
- Sources: Reuters, AP, BBC, NYT, official US court documents, DOJ statements.
- Resolution triggers on publication of the final sentence; 24h dispute window; oracle/DAO decision is final on-chain.
Voting & eligibility
- Snapshot: at final sentence announcement (block-based).
- Eligibility: wallets holding ≥100,000 $MADUROPT at snapshot.
- Voting stays open until resolution; no locking or slashing.
- Results posted after oracle/dispute finalization.
- Anti-flash: snapshot-gated; voting is free; balances unchanged.
Rewards (Airdrop)
- Correct voters receive airdrop from prize pool pro-rata to snapshot balance.
- Incorrect voters are not penalized.
- Claim opens after oracle finality/dispute window.
- Prize pool funded from trading fees and buybacks; 50% of buyback tokens burn for deflation.
Oracle & disputes
- Primary: Chainlink oracle with predefined sources (Reuters, AP, BBC, NYT, DOJ, US court records).
- Fallback: DAO vote with quorum + timelock.
- Dispute window: 24h after oracle post.
Buyback & prize pool
3–5% trading fee (or dedicated reserve) funds an automated buyback contract. Bought-back tokens: 50% burn for deflation, 50% flow to the prize pool for correct voters after resolution, creating continuous demand.