$MADUROPT
Prediction Market
Markets / Geopolitics / Sentencing
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Token

$MADUROPT

Prediction Market · Buyback + Burn · Snapshot eligibility

CA: TBD

Geopolitics · Single market

Maduro US sentence length?

$68,164 Vol. Deadline: Until final US sentence Oracle: Chainlink + DAO

Outcome

No prison time

Acquittal, deal with no jail, deportation, or dismissal

18%

Based on final US sentence

Outcome

20–40 years

Effective term across all counts

24%

Based on final US sentence

Outcome

40–60 years

Effective term across all counts

26%

Based on final US sentence

Outcome

60+ years (including life)

Includes life sentence scenarios

32%

Based on final US sentence

Market context

Prediction market on the length of the final US court sentence for Nicolás Maduro. Resolution follows the final sentence after appeals expire. Effective term accounts for concurrent sentences and parole eligibility. “No prison time” covers acquittal, plea with no incarceration, deportation, dismissal, or other non-custodial outcomes.

Rules
  • Outcome is set by the final US court sentence (after appeals or expiration of appeal window).
  • Effective term counts total prison time across counts, considering concurrent sentences and parole eligibility.
  • “No prison time” if acquittal, plea with no incarceration, deportation, dismissal, or any resolution without a custodial sentence.
  • Sources: Reuters, AP, BBC, NYT, official US court documents, DOJ statements.
  • Resolution triggers on publication of the final sentence; 24h dispute window; oracle/DAO decision is final on-chain.
Voting & eligibility
  • Snapshot: at final sentence announcement (block-based).
  • Eligibility: wallets holding ≥100,000 $MADUROPT at snapshot.
  • Voting stays open until resolution; no locking or slashing.
  • Results posted after oracle/dispute finalization.
  • Anti-flash: snapshot-gated; voting is free; balances unchanged.
Rewards (Airdrop)
  • Correct voters receive airdrop from prize pool pro-rata to snapshot balance.
  • Incorrect voters are not penalized.
  • Claim opens after oracle finality/dispute window.
  • Prize pool funded from trading fees and buybacks; 50% of buyback tokens burn for deflation.
Oracle & disputes
  • Primary: Chainlink oracle with predefined sources (Reuters, AP, BBC, NYT, DOJ, US court records).
  • Fallback: DAO vote with quorum + timelock.
  • Dispute window: 24h after oracle post.
Buyback & prize pool

3–5% trading fee (or dedicated reserve) funds an automated buyback contract. Bought-back tokens: 50% burn for deflation, 50% flow to the prize pool for correct voters after resolution, creating continuous demand.

Buyback 60% Prize 40%